
The National Unity Government, by contrast, has demonstrated growing potential to be victorious if it can successfully broaden an ethnic coalition and build its armed resistance capacity. There is little likelihood of the junta winning militarily or negotiating a power-sharing agreement.

Will they succeed, and what are the alternatives if they do not? Their goal is to take power in the coming year and install a federal democracy to replace the junta’s brutal dictatorship.


The acting president of Myanmar’s National Unity Government, the parallel civilian government which is fighting the junta that took power in a 2021 coup, recently claimed that resistance forces now control half of the country.
